Andy's Back!

Fans were thrilled with the surprise announcement that Andy Pettitte plans a comeback to the DMBL in 2013.

The 39-year-old lefthander went 147-143 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.61 WHIP over his 16-year career spent mostly with the Jerusalem Rabbis (1996-2000) and the Stanhope Mighty Men (2001-2002). He also pitched for the Newark Sugar Bears (2003-2004), Carolina Mudcats (2005-2007), Tampa Bay Plunkers (2008) and New Jersey Team Buddah (2009-2011).

His best season was probably 1998 (his only year as an All-Star) when he went 15-7 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.50 WHIP; his worst was last year (7-13, 6.41 ERA, 1.85 WHIP), which probably explained his abrupt retirement. He appeared on seven post-season teams and won World Series rings with the Rabbis (2000) and Sugar Bears (2004).

Fans are already asking: Is his comeback an attempt to make the DMBL Hall of Fame? Possibly! A solid season from Pettitte could help him move up the career leader charts in several categories.

If he makes just one appearance next season, he'll tie Roger Clemens and Greg Maddux for most seasons by a pitcher (17).

He also needs just 3 wins to become just the 11th player in DMBL history to reach 150 wins. But he'll have a tough time catching the guy ahead of him on the list -- Philly's Roy Halladay at 153. It would take an 24-win season from Pettitte to catch the next guy on the list -- Tom Glavine at 170. But at least a few more wins would help him stay ahead of the guy in 12th place -- Carolina's Tim Hudson, who is 19 wins behind at 128. The all-time Maddux with 232.

Pettitte ranks 5th in career starts with 421; he needs 30 starts in 2013 to pass Randy Johnson (450), 32 to pass Clemens (452) and 35 to eclipse Glavine in 2nd place. But he's still a long way away from Maddux, who ranks #1 at 497.

Pettitte also ranks 10th in most innings pitched (2,430); he needs just 10 innings to pass John Smoltz for 9th place, but moving up farther would be tough -- he'd need 181 innings next season to catch Kevin Brown at 2,610, and 213 to pass Pedro J. Martinez at 2,642. Even at 200 innings a season, he'd need five to break the all-time record -- Maddux's 3,415.

He is 11th in career Ks with 1,694, but he'll have a tough time moving up the list -- Halladay is ahead of him at 1,732, and he'll likely be adding a couple hundred more to his total this season. But perhaps they can both pass Johan Santana in 9th place at 1,747. Johnson's all-time record of 3,408 appears safe.

He ranks 7th in career shutouts (16), one behind Brad Radke, two behind Curt Schilling and three behind Pedro. But right in the middle of that pack is Halladay with 18, who will likely be moving up the leaderboard himself. Brown ranks 2nd with 24, while Maddux is the all-time leader with 32.

Pettitte also ranks 3rd in hits allowed (3,023), behind Glavine (3,277) and Maddux (3,597); 3rd in earned runs allowed (1,400), behind Maddux (1,478) and Glavine (1,523); 5th in walks allowed (879), behind Al Leiter (952), Clemens (984), Johnson (1,052) and Glavine (1,053).

So, would hanging on another year or two help Pettitte's HOF chances? Probably not, unless he's a lot more effective than he has been the last few years.

In fact, some would argue that Pettitte should have retired several years earlier if he wanted a shot at a plaque in East Hanover. Over the last three years of his career, all with New Jersey Team Buddah, Pettitte went 29-40 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP. Forget about those years, and Pettitte is 118-103 (.534 W%) with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP in 325 starts -- a better ERA and WHIP than Hall of Famer David Cone (4.42 ERA, 1.50 WHIP), and more wins than Hall of Famer Dennis Martinez (84).

Kevin Appier: Hall of Famer?

Kevin Appier had a long DMBL career... but was it worthy of the Diamond Mind Baseball League Hall of Fame?

Looking at the 16 starting pitchers who are or were eligible for the DMBL Hall of Fame -- that is, leaving out the guys who haven't been retired long enough (Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Pedro Martinez) and the two guys who are already in the Hall (David Cone and Dennis Martinez), but including pitchers who were eligible but are no longer on the ballot (Shane Reynolds, Pete Harnisch, Denny Neagle) -- Appier ranks first in several key categories.

Most wins (107) -- Appier, followed by Hideo Nomo (87)
Most strikeouts (1,470) -- Appier, followed by Nomo (1,370)
Most innings (1,810.0) -- Appier, followed by Andy Benes (1589.1)
Most starts (300) -- Appier, followed by Benes (274)
Most complete games (35) -- Appier, followed by Harnisch (29)
Most years played (11) -- Appier, tied with Benes (11)

On the other hand, he also ranks first in most hits allowed, most earned runs allowed, most walks allowed, and most losses.

But all this proves is that Appier had a long career. The question is, did he have a good one?

Appier's career ERA of 4.90 ranks puts him 6th out of the 16, between mediocrities Scott Erickson (4.86) and Kirk Rueter (4.96). (Bret Saberhagen leads at 4.35.) He's even lower in WHIP, ranking 10th. (Rick Reed leads with a 1.35; Appier's 1.55 puts him between Nomo at 1.52 and Pedro Astacio at 1.57.) He's just 8th in winning percentage (.471), between Juan Guzman and Reed. (Neagle leads at .565.) And despite having a huge lead in career starts and complete games, his 5 career shutouts leave him tied for 3rd with Reynolds. (Ismael Valdes leads with 8, followed by Nomo at 6.)

Appier is 6th in H/9 (10.2), 11th in BB/9 (3.8), 4th in K/9 (7.3) and 7th in K:BB (1.9). And remember, this isn't all-time... this is just out of the 16 starting pitchers who are or were eligible for the Hall of Fame.

Looking at his career season-by-season, you see Appier got off to a really bad start -- he was 6-28 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in his first two seasons! If you throw out those two years, his career W% climbs to .523 (101-92) and his ERA drops to 4.78. He also had a brutal end to his career, with four years for the perpetually cellar-dwelling Columbia Rattlesnakes (28-44, 5.55 ERA). If you throw out those years as well, you really see why some people remember Appier as a solid DMBL pitcher -- 73-48 (.603 W%) with a 4.35 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 31 complete games, and 5 shutouts over five seasons with Tampa and Newark. Looking at him just over that stretch, he has almost as good a HOF case as Cone (109-81, .574 W%, 4.42 ERA, 1.50 WHIP). He also was a two-time All-Star ('93, '98) and won a World Series ring with the 1997 Sugar Bears.

But can you ignore six bad years and focus only on five good years? Does a pretty good (but not great) peak warrant the Hall of Fame? Decide for yourself! Fill out your ballot today!

POINT-COUNTERPOINT: John Olerud, Hall of Fame?

NO, HE'S NOT: A Good Player, But Not A Great One
By Phil Plantier

John Olerud was a mainstay of the early 2000s Arkansas Golden Falcons. A four-time All-Star and both the All-Star and World Series MVPs in 1999, he hit .300 with an amazing .403 career OBP. He won two World Series rings and reached the post-season eight times in his 12-year career.

But was he truly a Hall of Famer? While he was in the league for a long time, he only had in 5,185 career ABs -- he was a platoon player in his first and last season, missed almost all of 1997, and of course 1995 was the strike year. As a result, you won't find him on the career leaderboard in any category.

Most dramatically, Olerud hit just 148 HRs -- 1 HR for every 35 AB. His lack of power (career .457 SLG) dropped his career OPS to .860 despite his amazing OBP. (Not to whine, but I hit one every 13 AB and had an .829 OPS, but I only got one season in the DMBL.) You want power from your corners, and Olerud couldn't supply it.

There have been a lot of players with career OPS's in the mid-800s -- Harold Baines (.846), Ellis Burks (.850), Ken Caminiti (.846), Tim Salmon (.869), Mo Vaughn (.842) -- who were passed over by the voters.

In a few years there will be guys like Brian Giles (.886), Ryan Klesko (.891), and Bernie Williams (.881) on the ballot. If you let in Olerud, I guess they are all Hall of Famers, too?

YES, HE IS: Fuck you, Phil Plantier
By John Olerud

I think spending all that time in Triple-A must have made you soft in the head. (Maybe you should've worn a helmet all the time like I did.) You don't seem to understand that a career .403 OBP means that I was one of the best players in baseball for a very long time. I didn't hit a lot of home runs, but that's why we had Barry Bonds and Juan Gonzalez. My job was to get on base, and I was one of the best in league history at doing that.

Among all players eligible for the Hall of Fame, I rank 7th in on-base percentage. Seventh! Plantier, didn't you read Moneyball? Or at least see the movie? OBP is where it's at, kid.

Oh and P.S., hell yeah Klesko will be a Hall of Famer. Dude could rake.

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What do you think? Let us know by casting your ballot for the Hall of Fame!

Five things to remember from 2007

As the last post of the year (I'm going to take the day off on Monday), we'll take a look at some of the memories from the 2007 season.

1. Liriano vs. Santana
All year long these two were contending for top pitcher honors. Both had amazing seasons and indeed faced off in the All-Star game. Neither was all that impressive in that game, but Liriano fared slightly better. Oddly enough the two would never face each other in a regular season game, but in round 2 of the playoffs, we finally saw the matchup we were waiting for -- twice! In game one, Liriano clearly outduelled Santana in an 8-2 victory, but game two was more even as both earned non-decisions. Liriano got to pitch in the World Series while Santana watched at home on TV. Liriano and Santana would once again contend, this time for the coveted Ben McDonald Award. Santana won by the skin of his teeth and Liriano was forced to settle for the Pat Listach Award.

2. New Blood
The Sardine City Straphangers and the New Jersey Team Buddah kicked off their inaugural seasons in 2007. Both teams started off with a loss - ok make that seven straight losses! After their eighth try, the Straphangers finally earned their first win and it took Team Buddah one extra game to win in their ninth try. Both teams will look to improve in 2008.

3. Newark's Steamrolling
The Sugar Bears were a powerhouse all season long, setting several offensive records along the way en route to a dominating final record. The Sugar Bears won their unprecedented fourth straight DMBL World Series. Chipper Jones took the Mitchell Award. Five Sugar Bears batters were in the top seven in OPS. Jim Edmonds and Marlon Anderson will forever be remembered for their gaudy and unexpected numbers.

4. Hall of Fame Opens its Doors
The DMBL finally took off in 2007 after much planning. The voters inducted four members: Tony Gwynn, Mark McGwire, Albert Belle, and John Wetteland. Although there weren't many votes, the Hall experienced a great opening year crowd in its Parsippany, New Jersey, location.

5. Brett Myers' Losing streak
Not since the days of Kevin Appier have we seen such a bad start to the season. Well at least as far as I can remember anyway. Either way, Myers faced a brutal start to his '07 campaign, going 0-12 early on. Myers finally broke the hex in May against the Honolulu Sharks. Myers looked like a sure bet to lose 20 games. His ERA stood at 10.62 at one point, but he worked hard with pitching coach Sam "Mayday" Malone and actually finished the season at 10-18 (meaning he was 10-6 following his disastrous 0-12 start). Considering where he stood earlier, his 6.27 ERA was somewhat respectable.

Tuesday Tidbits

There's a new Trade Talk article posted looking at some of the biggest trades. We kind of covered some of these in the last post, but this broadens the scope a bit.

Diamond Mind will ship the season disk on December 11, so I'll be making that annual call to put in my order. Hopefully that means that the rosters will be updated sometime mid-month.

We'll be starting the voting for the DMBL Hall of Fame soon. Last year we inducted our first class of Hall of Famers. The 2008 ballot will be updated soon and you'll get a chance to vote for the next group. Last year we inducted Tony Gwynn, Mark McGwire, Albert Belle, and John Wetteland.

There's a big discussion going on over at Freaks N Geeks about possibly expanding the farm teams in the DMBL. If you haven't checked it out and weighed in with your opinion, well, what are you waiting for?

There are going to be four rules/league items to vote on before this year's draft, so now's the time to put your two cents in. In case you don't remember, the four items are: 1) stadium leases, 2) outfield positions, 3) expansion, and 4) the new farm team rule.